Welcome to FiveStat
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Data-driven EPL predictions
Correct score heatmaps, win probabilities and xG analytics for all Premier League fixtures
Our correct score heatmaps display the probability of every scoreline for each upcoming fixture. The darker the cell, the more likely that scoreline, giving you an instant read on how our model expects a match to play out.
Our model breaks down every fixture into three key metrics: who's most likely to win, whether the game will go over or under 2.5 goals, and the probability of each Team keeping a clean sheet.
Our xG table gives insight to how each team is performing, beyond just points. We use data from our match prediction model to run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures to show the probability of every team finishing in each position.
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