FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Group A
Match predictions and qualification probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Group A Standings
Team
Pld
Pts
ELO
Qualify%
Win%
1
Mexico
0
0
1876
73.2%
2.3%
2
South Korea
0
0
1831
61.3%
0.9%
3
Czech Republic
0
0
1805
43.6%
0.5%
4
South Africa
0
0
1712
21.9%
0.0%
Top 2 qualify automatically. 8 best third-place teams also advance.
Fixtures & Predictions
2026-06-11
Mexico
vs
South Africa
MEX
68.4%
Draw
5.0%
SOU
26.6%
2026-06-12
South Korea
vs
Czechia
SOU
53.0%
Draw
13.8%
CZE
33.2%
2026-06-18
Czechia
vs
South Africa
CZE
43.0%
Draw
22.4%
SOU
34.6%
2026-06-19
Mexico
vs
South Korea
MEX
44.6%
Draw
21.0%
SOU
34.4%
2026-06-25
Czechia
vs
Mexico
CZE
31.0%
Draw
5.0%
MEX
64.0%
2026-06-25
South Africa
vs
South Korea
SOU
31.4%
Draw
6.2%
SOU
62.4%