Correct score heatmaps visualize the probability of scorelines in a football match. They are generated using historical data and statistical models to predict the likelihood of each possible outcome.
These heatmaps can be useful for sports analysts, bettors and football fans looking for data-driven projections.
You can read more about how our Heatmaps are generatedHERE
| Rank ▼ | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GA | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Manchester United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
| Rank ▼ | Team | G | xG | npxG | xG +/- | GA | xGA | npxGA | xGA +/- | PTS | xPTS | xPTS +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 13.3 | 11.8 | -0.7 | 3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 16 | 14.5 | -1.5 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 13 | 12.5 | 11.7 | -0.5 | 9 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.7 | 15 | 11.3 | -3.7 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 13 | 7.7 | 7.7 | -5.3 | 5 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 14 | 8.6 | -5.4 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 11 | 9.9 | 9.2 | -1.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 6.5 | -1.5 | 14 | 12.4 | -1.6 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 15 | 13.0 | 13.0 | -2.0 | 6 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 13 | 13.1 | 0.1 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 14.5 | 13.7 | 5.5 | 5 | 10.0 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 12 | 13.1 | 1.1 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 13 | 12.2 | 11.5 | -0.8 | 9 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.8 | 11 | 10.3 | -0.7 |
| 8 | Everton | 9 | 10.1 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 11 | 9.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 7 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 6 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 11 | 8.2 | -2.8 |
| 10 | Manchester United | 9 | 13.8 | 11.7 | 4.8 | 11 | 10.4 | 10.4 | -0.6 | 10 | 11.9 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 12.1 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Brighton | 10 | 11.6 | 9.3 | 1.6 | 10 | 9.8 | 9.1 | -0.2 | 9 | 11.0 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 6 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 9 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Fulham | 8 | 7.7 | 7.7 | -0.3 | 11 | 9.6 | 7.5 | -1.4 | 8 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Leeds | 7 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 11 | 8.2 | 7.5 | -2.8 | 8 | 10.1 | 2.1 |
| 16 | Brentford | 9 | 9.3 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 12 | 10.0 | 8.5 | -2.0 | 7 | 9.2 | 2.2 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 12 | 14.3 | 12.2 | 2.3 | 5 | 5.6 | 0.6 |
| 18 | Burnley | 7 | 5.3 | 5.3 | -1.7 | 15 | 15.6 | 14.1 | 0.6 | 4 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| 19 | West Ham | 6 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 16 | 13.1 | 12.3 | -2.9 | 4 | 6.1 | 2.1 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 5 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 14 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -4.0 | 2 | 6.2 | 4.2 |
We've simulated the remaining fixtures of the 24/25 season using ourMatch Prediction Modelto visualize how the final Premier League Table will look
| Rank | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Final xPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 48.1% | 29.9% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 81.7 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 31.0% | 34.5% | 24.3% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 79.7 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 19.1% | 28.0% | 34.8% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 77.4 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 1.2% | 4.5% | 12.1% | 28.1% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.9 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 0.3% | 1.1% | 4.1% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 62.1 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 0.1% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 59.0 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 58.1 |
| 8 | Everton | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 57.3 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 56.7 |
| 10 | Brighton | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 56.7 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 56.6 |
| 12 | Brentford | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 54.0 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 47.1 |
| 14 | Fulham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 46.6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 43.8 |
| 16 | West Ham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 34.7 |
| 17 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 34.0 |
| 18 | Leeds | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 32.8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 31.3 |
| 20 | Burnley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 22.5% | 53.1% | 25.9 |