FPL Planner
Model-backed captaincy picks and transfer targets - so now you know exactly why you made the call, whatever happens in the GW.
Model xG for Gameweek 36
Ranked by projected FPL points for Gameweek 36. Click a row to see fixture breakdown.
Defend your picks!
| # | Player | Fixture | Proj. xG | Proj. xA | Proj. CS | Proj. Pts | Price | Ownership |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O'Reilly Balanced - provides cover | BRE (H) + CRY (H) | 0.29 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 10.3 | £5.2m | 18.4% |
| 2 | Guéhi Safe - popular pick | BRE (H) + CRY (H) | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.80 | 9.7 | £5.1m | 32.8% |
| 3 | Haaland Safe - popular pick | BRE (H) + CRY (H) | 1.20 | 0.19 | - | 9.4 | £14.6m | 62.3% |
| 4 | Matheus N. Bold! - low ownership | BRE (H) + CRY (H) | 0.02 | 0.19 | 0.80 | 8.6 | £5.3m | 3.0% |
| 5 | Semenyo Safe - popular pick | BRE (H) + CRY (H) | 0.52 | 0.27 | 0.80 | 7.4 | £8.1m | 50.0% |
| 6 | Khusanov Bold! - low ownership | BRE (H) + CRY (H) | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.80 | 6.8 | £5.4m | 0.7% |
| 7 | F.Kadıoğlu Bold! - low ownership | WOL (H) | 0.06 | 0.14 | 0.45 | 5.1 | £4.4m | 1.1% |
| 8 | Gabriel Safe - popular pick | WHU (A) | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 4.9 | £7.2m | 44.6% |
| 9 | Tarkowski Balanced - provides cover | CRY (A) | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 4.3 | £5.7m | 11.5% |
| 10 | Thiaw Bold! - low ownership | NFO (A) | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 4.3 | £5.0m | 5.2% |
| 11 | B.Fernandes Safe - popular pick | SUN (A) | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 4.3 | £10.4m | 47.2% |
| 12 | Mykolenko Bold! - low ownership | CRY (A) | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.38 | 4.1 | £4.9m | 0.6% |
| 13 | O'Brien Bold! - low ownership | CRY (A) | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.38 | 4.1 | £4.9m | 0.7% |
| 14 | Keane Bold! - low ownership | CRY (A) | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.38 | 4.0 | £4.5m | 2.6% |
| 15 | Saliba Balanced - provides cover | WHU (A) | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 3.9 | £6.1m | 15.4% |
| 16 | Gyökeres Balanced - provides cover | WHU (A) | 0.40 | 0.07 | - | 3.8 | £8.8m | 13.1% |
| 17 | Enzo Balanced - provides cover | LIV (A) | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 3.7 | £6.5m | 11.1% |
| 18 | Thiago Safe - popular pick | MCI (A) | 0.38 | 0.05 | - | 3.7 | £7.4m | 34.4% |
| 19 | Calafiori Bold! - low ownership | WHU (A) | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 3.6 | £5.6m | 5.9% |
| 20 | Hincapie Bold! - low ownership | WHU (A) | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 3.5 | £5.1m | 1.0% |
Model xGA for Gameweek 36 - lower means fewer goals expected to concede
Probability (%) of keeping a clean sheet in Gameweek 36
Difficulty based on FiveStat model win probability for each fixture.
| Team | GW36 | GW37 | GW38 | GW39 | GW40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | WHU (A) | BUR (H) | CRY (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Manchester City | BRE (H) CRY (H) | BOU (A) | AVL (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Manchester United | SUN (A) | NFO (H) | BHA (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Liverpool | CHE (H) | AVL (A) | BRE (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Aston Villa | BUR (A) | LIV (H) | MCI (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Bournemouth | FUL (A) | MCI (H) | NFO (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Brentford | MCI (A) | CRY (H) | LIV (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Brighton | WOL (H) | LEE (A) | MUN (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Chelsea | LIV (A) | TOT (H) | SUN (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Everton | CRY (A) | SUN (H) | TOT (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Fulham | BOU (H) | WOL (A) | NEW (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Sunderland | MUN (H) | EVE (A) | CHE (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Newcastle | NFO (A) | WHU (H) | FUL (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Leeds | TOT (A) | BHA (H) | WHU (A) | BGW | BGW |
| Crystal Palace | EVE (H) MCI (A) | BRE (A) | ARS (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Nottingham Forest | NEW (H) | MUN (A) | BOU (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Tottenham Hotspur | LEE (H) | CHE (A) | EVE (H) | BGW | BGW |
| West Ham | ARS (H) | NEW (A) | LEE (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Burnley | AVL (H) | ARS (A) | WOL (H) | BGW | BGW |
| Wolves | BHA (A) | FUL (H) | BUR (A) | BGW | BGW |
How is the Player Watch list built?
Who is included?
Only outfield attacking players (Midfielders and Forwards) who are currently available (no injury or suspension flag) are considered. Players must have accumulated at least 450 minutes of game time during the current season to be included - this filters out rotation risks and players without enough data to project reliably.
Why might a player be missing?
A player may be absent if they have fewer than 450 minutes played, are marked as unavailable or doubtful, play for a team with no upcoming fixture data, or have insufficient recent shot data for the model to calculate a meaningful xG share.
How are projections calculated?
Each player's projected xG is based on their share of their team's total xG this season, weighted 70% on the full-season average and 30% on their share over the most recent 5 gameweeks. This share is then multiplied by the team's model-projected xG for the upcoming fixture, scaled by the player's average minutes per game.
What does the Differentials tab show?
The Differentials tab filters the list to players with an FPL ownership below 15% — useful for identifying high-upside picks that most managers won't have.