FPL Analytics · Gameweek 1

FPL Planner

Model-backed captaincy picks and transfer targets - so now you know exactly why you made the call, whatever happens in the GW.

Team xG
FiveStat Model

Model xG for Gameweek 1

Captaincy Picks & Transfer Targets
FiveStat Model

Ranked by projected FPL points for Gameweek 1. Click a row to see fixture breakdown.

Defend your picks!

# Player Fixture Proj. xG Proj. xA Proj. CS Proj. Pts Price Ownership
1 Haaland Manchester City · FWD Safe - popular pick BOU (H) 0.81 0.12 - 5.6 £15.5m 69.3%
2 O'Reilly Manchester City · DEF Safe - popular pick BOU (H) 0.19 0.12 0.38 5.4 £6.5m 25.3%
3 Gabriel Arsenal · DEF Balanced - provides cover COV (H) 0.11 0.10 0.46 5.3 £8.0m 23.2%
4 Calafiori Arsenal · DEF Balanced - provides cover COV (H) 0.13 0.04 0.46 5.3 £5.5m 11.6%
5 B.Fernandes Manchester United · MID Safe - popular pick HUL (A) 0.32 0.54 0.32 5.2 £12.0m 44.3%
6 Guéhi Manchester City · DEF Safe - popular pick BOU (H) 0.13 0.11 0.38 4.9 £6.0m 26.1%
7 Thiago Brentford · FWD Balanced - provides cover TOT (H) 0.64 0.10 - 4.8 £8.0m 20.8%
8 Hincapie Arsenal · DEF Bold! - low ownership COV (H) 0.01 0.10 0.46 4.7 £5.5m 6.4%
9 Saka Arsenal · MID Balanced - provides cover COV (H) 0.29 0.42 0.46 4.7 £9.5m 11.5%
10 Mosquera Arsenal · DEF Balanced - provides cover COV (H) 0.00 0.04 0.46 4.5 £5.5m 13.2%
11 Mbeumo Manchester United · MID Balanced - provides cover HUL (A) 0.36 0.22 0.32 4.4 £8.0m 13.4%
12 Gvardiol Manchester City · DEF Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.07 0.03 0.38 4.3 £5.5m 6.4%
13 Watkins Aston Villa · FWD Balanced - provides cover BHA (A) 0.54 0.06 - 4.3 £8.0m 16.1%
14 Enzo Chelsea · MID Bold! - low ownership FUL (A) 0.28 0.30 0.24 4.3 £7.0m 5.6%
15 Gyökeres Arsenal · FWD Balanced - provides cover COV (H) 0.47 0.11 - 4.2 £7.5m 17.0%
16 Aït-Nouri Manchester City · DEF Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.02 0.09 0.38 4.2 £5.5m 1.0%
17 Matheus N. Manchester City · DEF Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.01 0.10 0.38 4.2 £6.0m 7.9%
18 Schade Brentford · MID Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.37 0.11 0.23 4.2 £6.0m 2.6%
19 Semenyo Manchester City · MID Balanced - provides cover BOU (H) 0.35 0.14 0.38 4.2 £8.5m 20.0%
20 Khusanov Manchester City · DEF Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.02 0.06 0.38 4.1 £5.5m 2.4%
21 Gakpo Liverpool · MID Bold! - low ownership NEW (A) 0.28 0.23 0.20 4.1 £7.0m 4.5%
22 Tarkowski Everton · DEF Balanced - provides cover CRY (H) 0.09 0.11 0.30 4.1 £6.0m 13.6%
23 Dalot Manchester United · DEF Bold! - low ownership HUL (A) 0.06 0.11 0.32 4.0 £5.0m 3.8%
24 Rúben Manchester City · DEF Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.02 0.03 0.38 4.0 £5.5m 1.3%
25 Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest · MID Balanced - provides cover LEE (H) 0.31 0.14 0.26 4.0 £8.0m 13.7%
26 E.Le Fée Sunderland · MID Bold! - low ownership IPS (A) 0.19 0.32 0.29 3.9 £6.0m 3.3%
27 Cherki Manchester City · MID Balanced - provides cover BOU (H) 0.14 0.41 0.38 3.9 £7.5m 11.4%
28 Rice Arsenal · MID Balanced - provides cover COV (H) 0.12 0.43 0.46 3.9 £7.5m 24.1%
29 Wirtz Liverpool · MID Balanced - provides cover NEW (A) 0.23 0.25 0.20 3.9 £7.5m 15.4%
30 O.Dango Brentford · MID Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.25 0.21 0.23 3.9 £6.5m 2.1%
31 Bruno G. Newcastle · MID Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.19 0.29 0.19 3.8 £7.0m 9.8%
32 Bogle Leeds · DEF Bold! - low ownership NFO (A) 0.05 0.13 0.29 3.8 £4.5m 0.5%
33 Ndiaye Everton · MID Balanced - provides cover CRY (H) 0.23 0.23 0.30 3.8 £6.0m 16.5%
34 Szoboszlai Liverpool · MID Safe - popular pick NEW (A) 0.16 0.34 0.20 3.8 £7.0m 35.1%
35 N.Williams Nottingham Forest · DEF Bold! - low ownership LEE (H) 0.06 0.20 0.26 3.8 £5.0m 8.9%
36 Keane Everton · DEF Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.08 0.03 0.30 3.8 £5.0m 1.6%
37 João Pedro Chelsea · FWD Safe - popular pick FUL (A) 0.38 0.08 - 3.7 £7.5m 45.4%
38 Shaw Manchester United · DEF Balanced - provides cover HUL (A) 0.02 0.09 0.32 3.7 £4.5m 13.8%
39 De Cuyper Brighton · DEF Bold! - low ownership AVL (H) 0.05 0.17 0.27 3.7 £4.5m 2.8%
40 O'Brien Everton · DEF Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.06 0.05 0.30 3.7 £5.0m 0.6%
41 F.Kadıoğlu Brighton · DEF Bold! - low ownership AVL (H) 0.06 0.14 0.27 3.7 £4.5m 3.1%
42 Yoro Manchester United · DEF Bold! - low ownership HUL (A) 0.04 0.03 0.32 3.7 £5.0m 0.5%
43 Mykolenko Everton · DEF Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.01 0.13 0.30 3.7 £4.5m 1.8%
44 Gudmundsson Leeds · DEF Bold! - low ownership NFO (A) 0.03 0.12 0.29 3.6 £4.5m 0.8%
45 Barnes Newcastle · MID Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.23 0.16 0.19 3.6 £6.0m 1.0%
46 Palmer Chelsea · MID Balanced - provides cover FUL (A) 0.27 0.10 0.24 3.6 £9.5m 12.8%
47 Calvert-Lewin Leeds · FWD Balanced - provides cover NFO (A) 0.37 0.04 - 3.6 £6.0m 15.9%
48 Foden Manchester City · MID Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.19 0.22 0.38 3.6 £7.0m 5.4%
49 Dewsbury-Hall Everton · MID Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.15 0.27 0.30 3.6 £6.5m 5.4%
50 Welbeck Brighton · FWD Bold! - low ownership AVL (H) 0.34 0.06 - 3.5 £6.0m 3.2%
51 Struijk Brighton · DEF Bold! - low ownership AVL (H) 0.08 0.03 0.27 3.5 £5.0m 0.6%
52 Wieffer Brighton · DEF Bold! - low ownership AVL (H) 0.05 0.08 0.27 3.5 £5.0m 0.5%
53 Van den Berg Brentford · DEF Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.10 0.07 0.23 3.5 £5.0m 0.8%
54 Cunha Manchester United · MID Balanced - provides cover HUL (A) 0.21 0.15 0.32 3.5 £8.0m 14.4%
55 Thiaw Newcastle · DEF Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.16 0.06 0.19 3.5 £5.0m 2.7%
56 Eze Arsenal · MID Bold! - low ownership COV (H) 0.20 0.16 0.46 3.5 £6.5m 3.0%
57 Amad Manchester United · MID Bold! - low ownership HUL (A) 0.16 0.21 0.32 3.4 £6.0m 1.4%
58 Neto Chelsea · MID Bold! - low ownership FUL (A) 0.12 0.28 0.24 3.4 £6.5m 1.2%
59 Muñoz Crystal Palace · DEF Balanced - provides cover EVE (A) 0.05 0.13 0.24 3.4 £5.5m 14.1%
60 Smith Rowe Fulham · MID Bold! - low ownership CHE (H) 0.24 0.07 0.18 3.4 £5.5m 0.4%
61 Rogers Chelsea · MID Safe - popular pick FUL (A) 0.17 0.18 0.24 3.4 £7.5m 37.7%
62 Virgil Liverpool · DEF Balanced - provides cover NEW (A) 0.12 0.07 0.20 3.4 £6.5m 15.2%
63 Cash Aston Villa · DEF Bold! - low ownership BHA (A) 0.04 0.16 0.23 3.4 £4.5m 9.1%
64 Tavernier Bournemouth · MID Bold! - low ownership MCI (A) 0.17 0.17 0.08 3.3 £6.0m 1.9%
65 Iwobi Fulham · MID Bold! - low ownership CHE (H) 0.10 0.28 0.18 3.3 £5.5m 0.9%
66 Kayode Brentford · DEF Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.04 0.15 0.23 3.3 £4.5m 5.7%
67 Digne Aston Villa · DEF Bold! - low ownership BHA (A) 0.02 0.18 0.23 3.3 £4.5m 1.5%
68 Garner Everton · MID Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.07 0.32 0.30 3.3 £6.0m 3.8%
69 Collins Brentford · DEF Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.07 0.09 0.23 3.3 £5.5m 2.6%
70 Richarlison Tottenham Hotspur · FWD Bold! - low ownership BRE (A) 0.29 0.06 - 3.3 £6.0m 1.4%
71 Dunk Brighton · DEF Bold! - low ownership AVL (H) 0.05 0.02 0.27 3.3 £4.5m 0.7%
72 Maatsen Aston Villa · DEF Bold! - low ownership BHA (A) 0.04 0.13 0.23 3.3 £4.5m 0.7%
73 Mateta Crystal Palace · FWD Bold! - low ownership EVE (A) 0.29 0.04 - 3.3 £6.5m 8.4%
74 Wilson Leeds · MID Balanced - provides cover NFO (A) 0.14 0.19 0.29 3.3 £6.5m 10.8%
75 Jensen Brentford · MID Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.07 0.31 0.23 3.3 £5.5m 0.1%
76 Doku Manchester City · MID Bold! - low ownership BOU (H) 0.09 0.27 0.38 3.3 £7.5m 8.0%
77 Damsgaard Brentford · MID Bold! - low ownership TOT (H) 0.08 0.28 0.23 3.2 £5.5m 0.7%
78 Beto Everton · FWD Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.30 0.01 - 3.2 £5.5m 3.3%
79 Sarr Crystal Palace · MID Bold! - low ownership EVE (A) 0.22 0.04 0.24 3.2 £6.5m 9.5%
80 McGinn Aston Villa · MID Bold! - low ownership BHA (A) 0.10 0.22 0.23 3.2 £5.5m 2.6%
81 Barry Everton · FWD Bold! - low ownership CRY (H) 0.28 0.02 - 3.2 £5.5m 1.1%
82 Woltemade Newcastle · FWD Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.22 0.09 - 3.2 £6.0m 1.5%
83 Hall Newcastle · DEF Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.03 0.16 0.19 3.0 £5.0m 4.7%
84 Konsa Aston Villa · DEF Balanced - provides cover BHA (A) 0.04 0.03 0.23 3.0 £4.5m 16.5%
85 Sessegnon Fulham · DEF Bold! - low ownership CHE (H) 0.08 0.11 0.18 3.0 £4.5m 0.5%
86 Pau Aston Villa · DEF Bold! - low ownership BHA (A) 0.05 0.02 0.23 3.0 £4.5m 0.3%
87 Mings Aston Villa · DEF Bold! - low ownership BHA (A) 0.04 0.02 0.23 3.0 £4.5m 0.2%
88 Evanilson Bournemouth · FWD Bold! - low ownership MCI (A) 0.20 0.05 - 2.9 £6.0m 2.0%
89 Kroupi.Jr Bournemouth · MID Balanced - provides cover MCI (A) 0.15 0.06 0.08 2.9 £7.5m 20.2%
90 Castagne Fulham · DEF Bold! - low ownership CHE (H) 0.08 0.09 0.18 2.9 £4.5m 0.2%
91 Brooks Bournemouth · MID Bold! - low ownership MCI (A) 0.11 0.12 0.08 2.9 £5.0m 0.2%
92 Senesi Tottenham Hotspur · DEF Balanced - provides cover BRE (A) 0.05 0.18 0.16 2.9 £6.0m 16.5%
93 Van Hecke Tottenham Hotspur · DEF Bold! - low ownership BRE (A) 0.11 0.06 0.16 2.9 £5.0m 8.1%
94 Botman Newcastle · DEF Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.06 0.05 0.19 2.8 £5.0m 0.4%
95 Kerkez Liverpool · DEF Bold! - low ownership NEW (A) 0.05 0.03 0.20 2.8 £5.5m 7.6%
96 Frimpong Liverpool · DEF Bold! - low ownership NEW (A) 0.02 0.08 0.20 2.7 £5.5m 3.1%
97 Pedro Porro Tottenham Hotspur · DEF Balanced - provides cover BRE (A) 0.04 0.17 0.16 2.7 £5.5m 22.6%
98 Van de Ven Tottenham Hotspur · DEF Bold! - low ownership BRE (A) 0.09 0.01 0.16 2.6 £5.0m 5.4%
99 Schär Newcastle · DEF Bold! - low ownership LIV (H) 0.03 0.04 0.19 2.6 £5.0m 0.0%
100 Romero Tottenham Hotspur · DEF Bold! - low ownership BRE (A) 0.05 0.05 0.16 2.4 £5.0m 0.8%
Team xGA
FiveStat Model

Model xGA for Gameweek 1 - lower means fewer goals expected to concede

Clean Sheet Probability
FiveStat Model

Probability (%) of keeping a clean sheet in Gameweek 1

Fixture Difficulty - Next 5 Gameweeks
Easy Mid Hard BGW

Difficulty based on FiveStat model win probability for each fixture.

Team GW1GW2GW3GW4GW5
Arsenal COV (H) AVL (A) CHE (H) SUN (A) BHA (A)
Aston Villa BHA (A) ARS (H) HUL (A) NFO (H) TOT (A)
Bournemouth MCI (A) EVE (H) NEW (A) BRE (H) LIV (H)
Brentford TOT (H) LEE (A) SUN (H) BOU (A) CHE (H)
Brighton AVL (H) CHE (A) LEE (H) COV (A) ARS (H)
Chelsea FUL (A) BHA (H) ARS (A) HUL (H) BRE (A)
Coventry City ARS (A) HUL (H) MCI (A) BHA (H) NFO (A)
Crystal Palace EVE (A) MCI (H) FUL (A) IPS (H) LEE (A)
Everton CRY (H) BOU (A) MUN (H) TOT (A) IPS (H)
Fulham CHE (H) SUN (A) CRY (H) LIV (A) MUN (H)
Hull City MUN (H) COV (A) AVL (H) CHE (A) NEW (A)
Ipswich Town SUN (H) MUN (A) LIV (H) CRY (A) EVE (A)
Leeds NFO (A) BRE (H) BHA (A) NEW (H) CRY (H)
Liverpool NEW (A) NFO (H) IPS (A) FUL (H) BOU (A)
Manchester City BOU (H) CRY (A) COV (H) MUN (A) SUN (H)
Manchester United HUL (A) IPS (H) EVE (A) MCI (H) FUL (A)
Newcastle LIV (H) TOT (A) BOU (H) LEE (A) HUL (H)
Nottingham Forest LEE (H) LIV (A) TOT (H) AVL (A) COV (H)
Sunderland IPS (A) FUL (H) BRE (A) ARS (H) MCI (A)
Tottenham Hotspur BRE (A) NEW (H) NFO (A) EVE (H) AVL (H)