FPL Analytics · Gameweek 32

Clean Sheet & Fixture Planner

Model-derived clean sheet probabilities and fixture difficulty ratings to guide your FPL defensive picks.

Team xG — Attacking Fixture Strength

Model xG for Gameweek 32

Captain Picks - Gameweek 32

Ranked by projected xG for Gameweek 32. Click a row to see fixture breakdown.

Attacking Players only

# Player Fixture Proj. xG Proj. xA Price Ownership

1 Thiago Brentford · FWD EVE (H) 0.56 0.107 £7.3m 36.8%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	EVE (H)	0.56	0.107
33	FUL (H)	0.65	0.124
34	MUN (A)	0.57	0.108
35	WHU (H)	0.68	0.13
36	MCI (A)	0.50	0.094

2 Haaland Manchester City · FWD CHE (A) 0.44 0.081 £14.5m 54.9%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	CHE (A)	0.44	0.081
33	ARS (H)	0.47	0.087
34	BUR (A)	0.57	0.104
35	EVE (A)	0.42	0.078
36	BRE (H)	0.56	0.103

3 João Pedro Chelsea · FWD MCI (H) 0.37 0.078 £7.8m 50.5%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	MCI (H)	0.37	0.078
33	MUN (H)	0.42	0.09
34	BHA (A)	0.38	0.08
35	NFO (H)	0.41	0.087
36	LIV (A)	0.34	0.072

4 Welbeck Brighton · FWD BUR (A) 0.34 0.074 £6.2m 4.8%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	BUR (A)	0.34	0.074
33	TOT (A)	0.30	0.066
34	CHE (H)	0.26	0.057
35	NEW (A)	0.27	0.059
36	WOL (H)	0.31	0.067

5 Watkins Aston Villa · FWD NFO (A) 0.28 0.048 £8.5m 8.1%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	NFO (A)	0.28	0.048
33	SUN (H)	0.35	0.059
34	FUL (A)	0.29	0.049
35	TOT (H)	0.35	0.059
36	BUR (A)	0.34	0.057

6 Semenyo Manchester City · MID CHE (A) 0.28 0.104 £8.2m 53.6%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	CHE (A)	0.28	0.104
33	ARS (H)	0.30	0.112
34	BUR (A)	0.36	0.134
35	EVE (A)	0.27	0.1
36	BRE (H)	0.36	0.133

7 Ekitiké Liverpool · FWD FUL (H) 0.28 0.119 £9.3m 35.6%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	FUL (H)	0.28	0.119
33	EVE (A)	0.22	0.096
34	CRY (H)	0.25	0.11
35	MUN (A)	0.26	0.113
36	CHE (H)	0.25	0.107

8 Schade Brentford · MID EVE (H) 0.27 0.1 £6.9m 2.0%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	EVE (H)	0.27	0.1
33	FUL (H)	0.31	0.115
34	MUN (A)	0.27	0.101
35	WHU (H)	0.33	0.121
36	MCI (A)	0.24	0.088

9 Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest · MID AVL (H) 0.26 0.121 £7.4m 4.9%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	AVL (H)	0.26	0.121
33	BUR (H)	0.33	0.151
34	SUN (A)	0.29	0.135
35	CHE (A)	0.26	0.118
36	NEW (H)	0.27	0.121

10 Calvert-Lewin Leeds · FWD MUN (A) 0.26 0.044 £5.6m 7.9%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	MUN (A)	0.26	0.044
33	WOL (H)	0.28	0.047
34	BOU (A)	0.24	0.04
35	BUR (H)	0.31	0.052
36	TOT (A)	0.26	0.045

11 Gakpo Liverpool · MID FUL (H) 0.24 0.247 £7.3m 5.9%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	FUL (H)	0.24	0.247
33	EVE (A)	0.20	0.2
34	CRY (H)	0.22	0.228
35	MUN (A)	0.23	0.234
36	CHE (H)	0.22	0.222

12 Enzo Chelsea · MID MCI (H) 0.24 0.277 £6.6m 14.9%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	MCI (H)	0.24	0.277
33	MUN (H)	0.27	0.319
34	BHA (A)	0.24	0.284
35	NFO (H)	0.26	0.308
36	LIV (A)	0.22	0.256

13 Gyökeres Arsenal · FWD BOU (H) 0.22 0.073 £8.8m 11.5%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	BOU (H)	0.22	0.073
33	MCI (A)	0.18	0.059
34	NEW (H)	0.22	0.072
35	FUL (H)	0.24	0.078
36	WHU (A)	0.22	0.071

14 Saka Arsenal · MID BOU (H) 0.20 0.251 £9.8m 8.0%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	BOU (H)	0.20	0.251
33	MCI (A)	0.16	0.205
34	NEW (H)	0.20	0.25
35	FUL (H)	0.21	0.268
36	WHU (A)	0.20	0.245

15 Rogers Aston Villa · MID NFO (A) 0.19 0.19 £7.5m 24.4%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	NFO (A)	0.19	0.19
33	SUN (H)	0.24	0.232
34	FUL (A)	0.20	0.195
35	TOT (H)	0.24	0.233
36	BUR (A)	0.23	0.225

16 Mateta Crystal Palace · FWD NEW (H) 0.19 0.048 £7.5m 6.5%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	NEW (H)	0.19	0.048
33	WHU (H)	0.21	0.054
34	LIV (A)	0.19	0.048
35	BOU (A)	0.19	0.048
36	EVE (H)	0.18	0.044

17 Gordon Newcastle United · MID CRY (A) 0.18 0.121 £7.4m 7.2%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	CRY (A)	0.18	0.121
33	BOU (H)	0.21	0.14
34	ARS (A)	0.17	0.108
35	BHA (H)	0.24	0.155
36	NFO (A)	0.19	0.127

18 Mbeumo Manchester United · MID LEE (H) 0.18 0.182 £8.6m 22.2%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	LEE (H)	0.18	0.182
33	CHE (A)	0.12	0.121
34	BRE (H)	0.15	0.153
35	LIV (H)	0.14	0.143
36	SUN (A)	0.14	0.138

19 Bowen West Ham · FWD WOL (H) 0.17 0.296 £7.5m 8.7%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	WOL (H)	0.17	0.296
33	CRY (A)	0.15	0.26
34	EVE (H)	0.14	0.243
35	BRE (A)	0.17	0.281
36	ARS (H)	0.14	0.234

20 Richarlison Tottenham Hotspur · FWD SUN (A) 0.17 0.054 £6.3m 5.7%

GW	Fixture	Proj. xG	Proj. xA
32	SUN (A)	0.17	0.054
33	BHA (H)	0.18	0.055
34	WOL (A)	0.18	0.055
35	AVL (A)	0.15	0.048
36	LEE (H)	0.20	0.063

Clean Sheet Probability

Probability (%) of keeping a clean sheet in Gameweek 32

Fixture Difficulty — Next 5 Gameweeks

Easy Mid Hard BGW

Difficulty based on FiveStat model win probability for each fixture.

Team	GW32	GW33	GW34	GW35	GW36
Arsenal	BOU (H)	MCI (A)	NEW (H)	FUL (H)	WHU (A)
Manchester City	CHE (A)	ARS (H)	BUR (A)	EVE (A)	BRE (H)
Manchester United	LEE (H)	CHE (A)	BRE (H)	LIV (H)	SUN (A)
Aston Villa	NFO (A)	SUN (H)	FUL (A)	TOT (H)	BUR (A)
Liverpool	FUL (H)	EVE (A)	CRY (H)	MUN (A)	CHE (H)
Chelsea	MCI (H)	MUN (H)	BHA (A)	NFO (H)	LIV (A)
Brentford	EVE (H)	FUL (H)	MUN (A)	WHU (H)	MCI (A)
Everton	BRE (A)	LIV (H)	WHU (A)	MCI (H)	CRY (A)
Fulham	LIV (A)	BRE (A)	AVL (H)	ARS (A)	BOU (H)
Brighton	BUR (A)	TOT (A)	CHE (H)	NEW (A)	WOL (H)
Sunderland	TOT (H)	AVL (A)	NFO (H)	WOL (A)	MUN (H)
Newcastle United	CRY (A)	BOU (H)	ARS (A)	BHA (H)	NFO (A)
Bournemouth	ARS (A)	NEW (A)	LEE (H)	CRY (H)	FUL (A)
Crystal Palace	NEW (H)	WHU (H)	LIV (A)	BOU (A)	EVE (H)
Leeds	MUN (A)	WOL (H)	BOU (A)	BUR (H)	TOT (A)
Nottingham Forest	AVL (H)	BUR (H)	SUN (A)	CHE (A)	NEW (H)
Tottenham Hotspur	SUN (A)	BHA (H)	WOL (A)	AVL (A)	LEE (H)
West Ham	WOL (H)	CRY (A)	EVE (H)	BRE (A)	ARS (H)
Burnley	BHA (H)	NFO (A)	MCI (H)	LEE (A)	AVL (H)
Wolverhampton Wanderers	WHU (A)	LEE (A)	TOT (H)	SUN (H)	BHA (A)