FPL Planner
Model-backed captaincy picks and transfer targets - so now you know exactly why you made the call, whatever happens in the GW.
Model xG for Gameweek 4
Model xGA for Gameweek 4 - lower means fewer goals expected to concede
Probability (%) of keeping a clean sheet in Gameweek 4
Difficulty based on FiveStat model win probability for each fixture.
| Team | GW4 | GW5 | GW6 | GW7 | GW8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | MUN (A) | SUN (H) | LIV (A) | IPS (H) | AVL (A) |
| Arsenal | SUN (A) | BHA (A) | LEE (H) | NFO (A) | EVE (H) |
| Hull City | CHE (A) | NEW (A) | EVE (H) | FUL (A) | BRE (H) |
| Chelsea | HUL (H) | BRE (A) | BOU (H) | EVE (A) | TOT (H) |
| Brentford | BOU (A) | CHE (H) | AVL (A) | LIV (H) | HUL (A) |
| Liverpool | FUL (H) | BOU (A) | MCI (H) | BRE (A) | BHA (H) |
| Newcastle | LEE (A) | HUL (H) | COV (A) | AVL (H) | CRY (A) |
| Everton | TOT (A) | IPS (H) | HUL (A) | CHE (H) | ARS (A) |
| Leeds | NEW (H) | CRY (H) | ARS (A) | MUN (H) | SUN (A) |
| Brighton | COV (A) | ARS (H) | SUN (A) | CRY (H) | LIV (A) |
| Manchester United | MCI (H) | FUL (A) | TOT (H) | LEE (A) | BOU (H) |
| Sunderland | ARS (H) | MCI (A) | BHA (H) | BOU (A) | LEE (H) |
| Crystal Palace | IPS (H) | LEE (A) | NFO (H) | BHA (A) | NEW (H) |
| Ipswich Town | CRY (A) | EVE (A) | FUL (H) | MCI (A) | NFO (H) |
| Bournemouth | BRE (H) | LIV (H) | CHE (A) | SUN (H) | MUN (A) |
| Nottingham Forest | AVL (A) | COV (H) | CRY (A) | ARS (H) | IPS (A) |
| Aston Villa | NFO (H) | TOT (A) | BRE (H) | NEW (A) | MCI (H) |
| Tottenham Hotspur | EVE (H) | AVL (H) | MUN (A) | COV (H) | CHE (A) |
| Fulham | LIV (A) | MUN (H) | IPS (A) | HUL (H) | COV (A) |
| Coventry City | BHA (H) | NFO (A) | NEW (H) | TOT (A) | FUL (H) |
How is the Player Watch list built?
Who is included?
Only outfield attacking players (Midfielders and Forwards) who are currently available (no injury or suspension flag) are considered. Players must have accumulated at least 450 minutes of game time during the current season to be included - this filters out rotation risks and players without enough data to project reliably.
Why might a player be missing?
A player may be absent if they have fewer than 450 minutes played, are marked as unavailable or doubtful, play for a team with no upcoming fixture data, or have insufficient recent shot data for the model to calculate a meaningful xG share.
How are projections calculated?
Each player's projected xG is based on their share of their team's total xG this season, weighted 70% on the full-season average and 30% on their share over the most recent 5 gameweeks. This share is then multiplied by the team's model-projected xG for the upcoming fixture, scaled by the player's average minutes per game.
What does the Differentials tab show?
The Differentials tab filters the list to players with an FPL ownership below 15% — useful for identifying high-upside picks that most managers won't have.