All-Ireland SFC · 2026
GAA Football Predictions
ELO-based match probabilities and 5,000-simulation Monte Carlo championship model for the 2026 All-Ireland Senior Football Championship.
Round 2 Predictions
Match probabilities for this weekend's fixtures. 2A = winners' stream, 2B = second chance stream.
Stream 2A — Winners
2026-06-13 · 2A
Donegal
2037
vs
1607
Cork
DON
80.3%
Draw
13.6%
COR
6.1%
2026-06-14 · 2A
Louth
1583
vs
1936
Armagh
LOU
22.0%
Draw
16.5%
ARM
61.5%
2026-06-14 · 2A
Galway
1827
vs
1407
Westmeath
GAL
80.0%
Draw
13.6%
WES
6.4%
2026-06-14 · 2A
Tyrone
1697
vs
1848
Mayo
TYR
38.2%
Draw
19.6%
MAY
42.1%
Stream 2B — Second Chance
2026-06-13 · 2B
Monaghan
1519
vs
1654
Roscommon
MON
39.6%
Draw
19.9%
ROS
40.5%
2026-06-13 · 2B
Kildare
1238
vs
1973
Kerry
KIL
5.0%
Draw
13.4%
KER
81.6%
2026-06-13 · 2B
Derry
1583
vs
1609
Meath
DER
50.5%
Draw
18.2%
MEA
31.3%
2026-06-14 · 2B
Cavan
1283
vs
1618
Dublin
CAV
23.3%
Draw
16.7%
DUB
60.0%
Winner Probability
From 5,000 simulations of the remaining championship.
1
Donegal
31.4%
2
Kerry
19.0%
3
Galway
14.6%
4
Armagh
12.1%
5
Mayo
10.4%
6
Tyrone
4.2%
7
Dublin
2.2%
8
Derry
1.4%
9
Roscommon
1.3%
10
Meath
1.2%
11
Louth
0.7%
12
Cork
0.7%
13
Monaghan
0.4%
14
Westmeath
0.2%
15
Cavan
0.1%