FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Group F
Match predictions and qualification probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Group F Standings
Team
Pld
Pts
ELO
Qualify%
Win%
1
Netherlands
0
0
1958
84.5%
5.8%
2
Japan
0
0
1856
64.8%
0.9%
3
Tunisia
0
0
1768
30.9%
0.1%
4
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0
0
1726
19.8%
0.0%
Top 2 qualify automatically. 8 best third-place teams also advance.
Fixtures & Predictions
2026-06-14
Netherlands
vs
Japan
NET
58.1%
Draw
9.6%
JAP
32.3%
2026-06-15
Sweden
vs
Tunisia
SWE
40.0%
Draw
25.2%
TUN
34.8%
2026-06-20
Netherlands
vs
Sweden
NET
68.6%
Draw
5.0%
SWE
26.4%
2026-06-21
Tunisia
vs
Japan
TUN
32.9%
Draw
12.4%
JAP
54.7%
2026-06-25
Tunisia
vs
Netherlands
TUN
23.8%
Draw
5.0%
NET
71.2%
2026-06-25
Japan
vs
Sweden
JAP
48.9%
Draw
17.2%
SWE
33.9%